Bøger af Seth G. Jones

This CSIS report argues that the United States needs a robust force posture, including U.S. Army presence, in Europe on NATO's eastern flank to deter future Russian aggression. A significant downsizing of U.S. forces in Europe would weaken deterrence and embolden a revanchist Russia.

China's defense industrial base is moving to a wartime footing, while the United States is largely in a peacetime stance. Absent urgent changes, the United States risks weakening deterrence and undermining its warfighting capabilities against China and other competitors.

This CSIS report argues that Russian leaders are committed to a reconstitution of the Russian military¿especially the Russian army¿over the next several years, though achieving this goal will be challenging. In addition, Russia views the United States as its main enemy for the foreseeable future.

This CSIS report offers one of the most comprehensive analyses to date of Chinese political warfare activities and examines Chinäs main actions, primary goals, and options for the United States and its partners.

The U.S. defense industrial base is not prepared for the international security environment that now exists, including to deal with China. The United States should take several steps now to strengthen the industrial base to improve deterrence and warfighting.

This CSIS report from CSIS's International Security Program and Europe, Russia, and Eurasia program examines the evolution of European military capabilities over the next decade and the types of missions states will be able (and unable) to perform by 2030.

In Three Dangerous Men, defense expert Seth Jones argues that the US is woefully unprepared for the future of global competition. While America has focused on building fighter jets, missiles, and conventional warfighting capabilities, its three principal rivals-Russia, Iran, and China-have increasingly adopted irregular warfare: cyber attacks, the use of proxy forces, propaganda, espionage, and disinformation to undermine American power.Jones profiles three pioneers of irregular warfare in Moscow, Beijing, and Tehran who adapted American techniques and made huge gains without waging traditional warfare: Russian Chief of Staff Valery Gerasimov; the deceased Iranian Major General Qassem Soleimani; and vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission Zhang Youxia. Each has spent his career studying American power and devised techniques to avoid a conventional or nuclear war with the US. Gerasimov helped oversee a resurgence of Russian irregular warfare, which included attempts to undermine the 2016 and 2020 US presidential elections and the SolarWinds cyber attack. Soleimani was so effective in expanding Iranian power in the Middle East that Washington targeted him for assassination. Zhang Youxia presents the most alarming challenge because China has more power and potential at its disposal.Drawing on interviews with dozens of US military, diplomatic, and intelligence officials, as well as hundreds of documents translated from Russian, Farsi, and Mandarin, Jones shows how America's rivals have bloodied its reputation and seized territory worldwide. Instead of standing up to autocratic regimes, Jones demonstrates that the United States has largely abandoned the kind of information, special operations, intelligence, and economic and diplomatic action that helped win the Cold War.In a powerful conclusion, Jones details the key steps the United States must take to alter how it thinks about-and engages in-competition before it is too late.

In this CSIS report, Seth G. Jones analyzes Iran's irregular, conventional, economic, and soft power-as well as its domestic stability-to lay out a containment strategy aimed at curbing Iranian expansion and encouraging its political liberalization.

The dramatic, untold story of one of the CIA's most successful Cold War intelligence operations.

This report examines the status and evolution of al Qa''ida and other Salafi-jihadist groups, and uses qualitative and quantitative data to assess whether this movement has strengthened. The author uses this analysis to examine U.S. strategic options to counter al Qa''ida and other terrorist groups based on the threat level and the capacity of local governments.

From one of our most trusted counterterrorism experts, a sweeping, insider's account of the decade-long chase for America's deadliest enemy.

A definitive account of the American experience in Afghanistan from the rise of the Taliban to the depths of the insurgency.