Bøger af Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world. Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls antifragile are things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish.In The Black Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. Here Taleb stands uncer tainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resil ient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better.What's more, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call "e;efficient"e; not efficient at all? Why do government responses and social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should you write your resignation letter before starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives? The book spans innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems and medicine, drawing on modern street wisdom and ancient sources.Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world.Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb's message is revolutionary: the antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it.Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to problems of uncertainty, probability, and knowledge and has led three careers around this focus, as a businessman-trader, a philosophical essayist, and an academic researcher. Although he now spends most of his time working in intense seclusion in his study, in the manner of independent scholars, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's Polytechnic Institute. His main subject matter is "e;decision making under opacity,"e; that is, a map and a protocol on how we should live in a world we don't understand.His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in thirty-three languages.Taleb believes that prizes, honorary degrees, awards, and ceremonialism debase knowledge by turning it into a spectator sport.

'One of the smartest books of all time' Fortune'The hottest thinker in the world' Sunday TimesEveryone wants to succeed in life. But what causes some of us to be more successful than others? Is it really down to skill and strategy - or something altogether more unpredictable?This book is the bestselling sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. It is all about luck: more precisely, how we perceive luck in our personal and professional experiences. Nowhere is this more obvious than in the markets - we hear an entrepreneur has 'vision' or a trader is 'talented', but all too often their performance is down to chance rather than skill. It is only because we fail to understand probability that we continue to believe events are non-random, finding reasons where none exist.'An iconoclastic tour de force ... nothing escapes his Exocets' Evening Standard 'Brilliant' John Kay 'Excellent and thought-provoking ... an entertaining book' Financial Times 'Wall Street's principal dissident' Malcolm Gladwell

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

#1NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER *; A bold work from theauthor of The Black Swanthat challenges many of our long-held beliefs about risk and reward, politics and religion, finance and personal responsibility In his most provocative and practical book yet, one of the foremost thinkers of our time redefines what it means to understand the world, succeed in a profession, contribute to a fair and just society, detect nonsense, and influence others. Citing examples ranging from Hammurabi to Seneca, Antaeus the Giant to Donald Trump, Nassim Nicholas Taleb shows how the willingness to accept one's own risks is an essential attribute of heroes, saints, and flourishing people in all walks of life. As always both accessible and iconoclastic, Taleb challenges long-held beliefs about the values of those who spearhead military interventions, make financial investments, and propagate religious faiths. Among his insights: *; For social justice,focus on symmetry and risk sharing. You cannot make profits and transfer the risks to others, as bankers and large corporations do. You cannot get rich without owning your own risk and paying for your own losses. Forcing skin in the game corrects this asymmetry better than thousands of laws and regulations. *; Ethical rules aren't universal. You're part of a group larger than you, but it's still smaller than humanity in general. *; Minorities, not majorities, run the world. The world is not run by consensus but by stubborn minorities imposing their tastes and ethics on others. *; You can be an intellectual yet still be an idiot. ';Educated philistines' have been wrong on everything from Stalinism to Iraq to low-carb diets. *; Beware of complicated solutions (that someone was paid to find). A simple barbell can build muscle better than expensive new machines. *; True religion is commitment, not just faith. How much you believe in something is manifested only by what you're willing to risk for it.The phrase ';skin in the game' is one we have often heard but rarely stopped to truly dissect. It is the backbone of risk management, but it's also an astonishingly rich worldview that, as Taleb shows in this book, applies to all aspects of our lives. As Taleb says, ';The symmetry of skin in the game is a simple rule that's necessary for fairness and justice, and the ultimate BS-buster,' and ';Never trust anyone who doesn't have skin in the game. Without it, fools and crooks will benefit, and their mistakes will never come back to haunt them.'

In this profound and playful book, Nassim Nicholas Taleb presents his ideas about life in the form of aphorisms, the world's earliest - and most memorable - literary form. Procrustes was a character from Greek mythology who abducted travellers and invited them to spend the night in a special bed, which they had to fit to perfection. They never did. Those who were too tall had their legs chopped off; those who were too short were stretched. Every aphorism here is about a Procrustean bed of sorts - we humans, facing the limits of our knowledge, the unseen and the unknown, resolve the tension by squeezing life and the world into crisp commoditized ideas, reductive categories, specific vocabularies and pre-packaged narratives. Only by embracing the unexpected - and accepting what we don't know - can we see the world as it really is.

Antifragile, a masterpiece by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, is a book that will truly change your perspective. Published in 2014 by Random House LCC US, this book belongs to a genre that blends philosophy, economics, and psychology in a unique and captivating way. Antifragile goes beyond the conventional dichotomy of fragile versus robust. Taleb introduces a third category, 'Antifragile,' things that gain from disorder. The author skillfully guides the reader to understand how we can apply this concept in various aspects of our lives. Antifragile is not just a book, it's a new way of looking at the world. Don't miss out on this enlightening read from one of the most profound thinkers of our time.

Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb-veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan-has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. This book is about luck-or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill-the world of trading-Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives. The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world's wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed-the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time-he embodies the "survival of the least fit." Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year

“Den Sorte Svane har ændret måden, jeg ser verden på.” – Daniel Kahneman, nobelpristager i økonomi og forfatter til At tænke – hurtigt og langsomtDen Sorte Svane blev en international bestseller, da den udkom i 2007 og gjorde med ét den amerikansk-libanesiske forsker og tidligere børsmægler Nassim Nicholas Taleb verdensberømt.Den Sorte Svane handler om begivenheder, som er sjældne, højst usandsynlige, og som har en enorm effekt, når de indtræffer – begivenheder, som vi mennesker efterfølgende udtænker forklaringer på, så de fremstår langt mindre tilfældige og ligefrem forudsigelige. Men vi gør klogt i at indse, at Sorte Svaner er helt igennem uforudsigelige, og at vi helt skal lade være at prøve at forudsige dem. I stedet skal vi indrette os, så vi tåler dem og drager fordel af dem.Taleb væver sine ideer og tanker sammen på tværs af en dyb indsigt i filosofi, litteratur, sprog, matematik og økonomi. Han er en forfatter med sin helt egen skrivestil – fabulerende, indsigtsfuld, morsom og provokerende.Med sit mesterværk Den Sorte Svane har Taleb udviklet en både indflydelsesrig og original idé. Siden udgivelsen i 2007 er begrebet en Sort Svane blevet populært i et omfang, så det nu bruges til at beskrive og forstå aktuelle begivenheder, både internationalt og i den offentlige debat i Danmark. Sådan blev eksempelvis Den sorte svane navnet på den meget omtalte tv-dokumentar sendt på TV 2 i 2024.“Talebs bog er en mageløs og vidunderlig begyndelse på den proces, hvor vi finder frem til en helt anden måde at forholde os til verden – lyttende, snarrådig og sej.” – Tor Nørretranders, forord til Den Sorte Svane“Enormt underholdende – medrivende … let at gå til.” – Financial Times“En af de tolv mest indflydelsesrige bøger siden anden verdenskrig.” – Sunday Times“Den sorte svane er en type af bog, som ryster læserens grundvold. Der faktisk kan ændre vores syn på verden, på det at være menneske. Det er vedkommende, intelligent, snakkende, provokerende, konfronterende og flere steder meget morsomt leveret i et letforståeligt sprog. Kort sagt en bog, alle burde læse … Fremragende og banebrydende, nu for første gang på dansk.” – Lektørudtalelse, DBC“Lige nu begår De ifølge Nassim Nicholas Taleb en stor fejl. Hvad da? Jo, De læser avis! … det er usandsynlige hændelser, der skaber historien, nærmest brøler den libanesisk-amerikanske essayist, børsmægler og matematiske statistiker ud over siderne i sin bestseller fra 2007, der nu endelig kan læses på dansk.” – Weekendavisen“Denne idé, Sort-Svane-ideen, om sjældne begivenheder, ekstreme begivenheder, der dominerer, hvad der rent faktisk sker i vores liv – rummer en umådelig vigtig indsigt og er dybt original.” – Daniel Kahneman, nobelpristager i økonomi og forfatter til At tænke – hurtigt og langsomt“[Taleb er] … en helt igennem signifikant filosof; og med det mener jeg, en som er i stand til at ændre måden, vi opfatter verden på, alene ved sine ideers styrke, originalitet og sandhedsværdi.” – Will Self, GQ"Overbevisende … stærkt tankevækkende." – The Times© 2007, 2010 by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. All rights reserved.Published by agreement with Brockman, Inc.Dansk copyright © 2024 Bechs Forlag – ViatoneNassim Nicholas Taleb (f. 1960) er en amerikansk-libanesisk forsker, tidligere børsmægler og bestsellerforfatter. Han blev verdensberømt med udgivelsen af Den Sorte Svane i 2007. I mere end 20 år arbejdede Taleb som børsmægler, siden blev han forsker og essayist, beskæftiget med filosofiske, matematiske og (overvejende) praktiske problemer relateret til sandsynlighed. Taleb har udgivet flere bestsellere, bl.a. Fooled by Randomness (2001), Antifragile (2012) og Skin in the Game (2018). De indgår alle i det filosofiske fembindsværk Incerto, der er oversat til mere end 40 sprog.

"Den Sorte Svane har ændret måden, jeg ser verden på." – Daniel Kahneman, nobelpristager i økonomi Den Sorte Svane blev en international bestseller, da den udkom i 2007 og gjorde med ét den ameri­kansk-libanesiske forsker og tidligere børsmægler Nassim Nicholas Taleb verdensberømt.Den Sorte Svane handler om begivenheder, som er sjældne, højst usandsynlige, og som har en enorm effekt, når de indtræffer – begivenheder, som vi mennesker efterfølgende udtænker for­klaringer på, så de fremstår langt mindre tilfæl­dige og ligefrem forudsigelige. Men vi gør klogt i at indse, at Sorte Svaner er helt igennem ufor­udsigelige, og at vi helt skal lade være at prøve at forudsige dem. I stedet skal vi indrette os, så vi tåler dem og drager fordel af dem.Taleb væver sine ideer og tanker sammen på tværs af en dyb indsigt i filosofi, litteratur, sprog, mate­matik og økonomi. Han er en forfatter med sin helt egen skrivestil – fabulerende, indsigtsfuld, morsom og provokerende.Med sit mesterværk Den Sorte Svane har Taleb udviklet en både indflydelsesrig og original idé til en ny forståelse af verden. Siden udgivelsen i 2007 er begrebet en Sort Svane blevet populært i et omfang, så det nu bruges til at beskrive og forstå aktuelle begivenheder, både internationalt og i den offentlige debat i Dan­mark. Sådan blev eksempelvis Den sorte svane navnet på en meget omtalt tv-dokumentar sendt på TV 2 i 2024."Talebs bog er en mageløs og vidunderlig begyn­delse på den proces, hvor vi finder frem til en helt anden måde at forholde os til verden – lyttende, snarrådig og sej." – Tor Nørretranders, forord til Den Sorte Svane "Enormt underholdende – medrivende … let at gå til." – Financial Times"En af de tolv mest indflydelsesrige bøger siden anden verdenskrig." – Sunday Times"Fremragende og banebrydende, nu for første gang på dansk." – Lektørudtalelse, DBC"Denne idé, Sort-Svane-ideen, om sjældne begi­venheder, ekstreme begivenheder, der dominerer, hvad der rent faktisk sker i vores liv – rummer en umådelig vigtig indsigt og er dybt original." – Daniel Kahneman, nobelpristager i økonomi og forfatter til At tænke – hurtigt og langsomt"[Taleb er] … en helt igennem signifikant filosof; og med det mener jeg, en som er i stand til at ændre måden, vi opfatter verden på, alene ved sine ideers styrke, originalitet og sandhedsværdi." – Will Self, GQ"Overbevisende … stærkt tankevækkende." – The TimesNassim Nicholas Taleb (f. 1960) er en ameri­kansk-libanesisk forsker, tidligere børsmægler og bestsellerforfatter. Han blev verdensberømt med udgivelsen af Den Sorte Svane i 2007. I mere end 20 år arbejdede Taleb som børsmæg­ler, siden blev han forsker og essayist, beskæfti­get med filosofiske, matematiske og (overvejende) praktiske problemer relateret til sandsynlighed. Taleb har udgivet flere bestsellere, bl.a. Fooled by Randomness (2001), Antifragile (2012) og Skin in the Game (2018). De indgår alle i det filosofiske fembindsværk Incerto, der er oversat til mere end 40 sprog.

A condensed guide to life, Nassim Nicholas Taleb's The Bed of Procrustes is an invaluable collection of aphorisms to help you navigate the modern world.Second edition, revised and expandedWhy are we so often unwilling to accept that life is unpredictable? In this brilliant book Nassim Nicholas Taleb distils his idiosyncratic wisdom to demolish our illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance and erudition against modern philistinism and phoniness. Only by accepting what we don't know, he shows, can we see the world as it really is.

Dynamic Hedging is the definitive source on derivatives risk. It provides a real-world methodology for managing portfolios containing any nonlinear security. It presents risks from the vantage point of the option market maker and arbitrage operator.